Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Closes June 2, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral…
2026
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/629032
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