Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Closed March 18, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$0
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Feb 21, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 18, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 18, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/654412
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