Markets/Ramp IPO before 2027?

Ramp IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 01:18 PM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

15%YES

85%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

13% / 17%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

15%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

19% YES

Feb 22, 2026

Trough probability

6% YES — lowest in period

Feb 28, 2026

Biggest move: +28.5pp

8% → 37%

Mar 22, 2026

Peak probability

37% YES — highest in period

Mar 22, 2026

Current

15% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 15%99%

Buy YES@ 15¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 85¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Ramp IPO before 2027?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Ramp IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676781