Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Closes December 31, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$180
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 7, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 19, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $180 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/682718
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