Markets/Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 03:09 AM UTC

Closes June 23, 2026

⬡ Cross-venue entity

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

0% / 0%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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1%Market: YES 1%99%

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50%

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Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on June 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Liam Elkind be the democratic nominee for NY-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/695092

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