Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$352
Bid / Ask
33% / 45%
Spread
12.00pp
Expert Signal
32%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 12.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/902144
This event has 60 active outcome markets. Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 F: 100%, Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%, Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 100%.
Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this