Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$790
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
55% / 60%
Spread
4.60pp
Expert Signal
57%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 57% YES / 43% NO. In the last 24 hours, $790 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 4.60 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 57%, NO 43%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/972263
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 75%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 65%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 57%.
Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this