Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$518
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
30% / 46%
Spread
16.00pp
Expert Signal
35%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $518 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666659
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 80%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 60%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 58%.
Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this