Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$211
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
34% / 47%
Spread
13.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $211 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/666658
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Kash Patel leave the Trump administration bef: 80%, Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration : 60%, Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration be: 58%.
Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this