Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
Closed March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$170K
Liquidity
$32
Bid / Ask
50% / 53%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
21%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
37%
Mar 28, 2026
Biggest move: -13.5pp
51% → 37%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
26% YES (-11.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $170K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1720492
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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