ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
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Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

91%YES
9%NO

Volume 24h

$146K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

90% / 98%

Spread

7.70pp

Expert Signal

91%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Blackhawks vs. Islanders

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+40.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: +39.5pp

56% → 96%

Mar 25, 2026

Current

96% YES (+39.5pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 91%99%
Buy YES@ 91¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 9¢
Edge

+2.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO+2.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $146K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 7.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1436047