Markets/Brex IPO before 2027?

Brex IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 12:17 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

7%YES

93%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$9K

Bid / Ask

6% / 7%

Spread

0.70pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Feb 21, 2026

Biggest move: +14.7pp

7% → 21%

Mar 22, 2026

Peak probability

21% YES — highest in period

Mar 22, 2026

Current

7% YES (-7.4pp recent)

Mar 23, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 7%99%

Buy YES@ 7¢

Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 93¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Brex IPO before 2027?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Brex IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676786