ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5
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Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

92%YES
8%NO

Volume 24h

$351K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

84% / 99%

Spread

14.90pp

Expert Signal

92%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+39.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +25.5pp

49% → 75%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

92% YES (+17.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 92%99%
Buy YES@ 92¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly5.3%
½ Kelly2.7%
Buy NO@ 8¢

-5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 5.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5" at 92% YES / 8% NO. In the last 24 hours, $351K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 92%. The bid-ask spread is 14.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 92%, NO 8%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1671902