Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$257K
Liquidity
$70K
Bid / Ask
65% / 66%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
71%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
47%
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -7.5pp
54% → 47%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
41% YES (-4.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $257K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696997
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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