ForecastMind
Markets/Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Share on X

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

35%YES
66%NO

Volume 24h

$1.7M

Liquidity

$285K

Bid / Ask

62% / 63%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

35%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-9.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

63% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

63% → 54%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

54% YES (-8.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 35%99%
Buy YES@ 35¢
Edge

+1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 66¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.7M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 35%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1697006