Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.1M
Liquidity
$816K
Bid / Ask
60% / 61%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
39% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
77%
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: +38.0pp
39% → 77%
Mar 23, 2026
Current
77% YES (+38.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.1M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1686500
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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Full price history for your own analysis.