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Markets/Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5
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Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

71%YES
29%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

63% / 79%

Spread

16.00pp

Expert Signal

71%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

78% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

71% YES — lowest in period

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: -8.5pp

82% → 73%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

71% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 71%99%
Buy YES@ 71¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 29¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 16.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1735518