Markets/Discord IPO before 2027?

Discord IPO before 2027?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES

22%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$7K

Bid / Ask

77% / 78%

Spread

1.20pp

Expert Signal

78%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-12.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

90% YES

Feb 24, 2026

Trough probability

74% YES — lowest in period

Mar 19, 2026

Current

78% YES (+0.3pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 78%99%

Buy YES@ 78¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%

½ Kelly0.7%

Buy NO@ 22¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Discord IPO before 2027?" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Discord IPO before 2027?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/676777