Markets/Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 05:58 PM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES

99%NO

Volume 24h

$601K

Liquidity

$40K

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+73.9pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-25.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

-13.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly13.0%

½ Kelly6.5%

Buy NO—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 13.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $601K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1720884

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