Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Ducks vs. Flames
Closed March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$702K
Liquidity
$78K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Ducks vs. Flames
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Current
51% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Ducks vs. Flames" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $702K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Ducks vs. Flames." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1455102
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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