ForecastMind
Markets/Games Total: O/U 3.5
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Games Total: O/U 3.5

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

70%YES
31%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$51K

Bid / Ask

69% / 71%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

70%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

70% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

70% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 70%99%
Buy YES@ 70¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 31¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Games Total: O/U 3.5" at 70% YES / 30% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Games Total: O/U 3.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 70%, NO 30%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674403