Markets/Games Total: O/U 4.5

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 10:11 AM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES

69%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$41K

Bid / Ask

30% / 32%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

31% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

31% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 31%99%

Buy YES@ 31¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 69¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Games Total: O/U 4.5" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Games Total: O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674405

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