ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5
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Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

26%YES
75%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$985

Bid / Ask

1% / 51%

Spread

50.00pp

Expert Signal

39%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+13.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

29% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +7.5pp

35% → 42%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

42% YES (+7.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 26%99%
Buy YES@ 26¢
Edge

+2.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 75¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+2.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 50.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688559