ForecastMind
Markets/LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Share on X

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$1.7M

Liquidity

$439K

Bid / Ask

27% / 28%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

28% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

28% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 28%99%
Buy YES@ 28¢
Edge

+1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 73¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.7M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674395