Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$25K
Liquidity
$65K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -27.0pp
27% → 0%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696999
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Venue Divergence
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