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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano

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Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 06:16 PM UTC

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

38%YES

62%NO

Volume 24h

$431K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

35% / 36%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

55% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Current

56% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 38%99%

Buy YES@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $431K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Monaco vs. Olimpia Milano." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1639612

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