Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5
Closed March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$6
Bid / Ask
32% / 97%
Spread
65.00pp
Expert Signal
65%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
41% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
65%
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: -64.5pp
65% → 0%
Mar 25, 2026
Peak probability
65% YES — highest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.8%
EV per $ wagered
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 65.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696036
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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