NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$74K
Liquidity
$53K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
64% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
0%
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: -64.0pp
64% → 0%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $74K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711481
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.