ForecastMind
Markets/Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
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Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

Closes March 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

50%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$389K

Liquidity

$55K

Bid / Ask

50% / 51%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Event Distribution

Pistons vs. Thunder

Full event →
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5
55%
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5
54%
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
51%
Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
20%
Pistons vs. Thunder
16%

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

50% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $389K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1784715

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.