ForecastMind
Markets/Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
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Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

52%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$175K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

50% / 52%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Pistons vs. Timberwolves

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

53% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Current

52% YES (+1.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 52%99%
Buy YES@ 52¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 49¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5" at 52% YES / 48% NO. In the last 24 hours, $175K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 52%, NO 48%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1750516