ForecastMind
Markets/Rockets vs. Bulls
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Rockets vs. Bulls

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES
23%NO

Volume 24h

$224K

Liquidity

$196K

Bid / Ask

77% / 78%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

78%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.2%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 22¢

-2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Rockets vs. Bulls" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $224K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 78%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Rockets vs. Bulls." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1627636