Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)
Closed March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$190K
Liquidity
$41K
Bid / Ask
86% / 93%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
66%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
72%
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: +23.0pp
49% → 72%
Mar 27, 2026
Current
72% YES (+23.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $190K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 66%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-8.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705715
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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