ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)
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Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)

Closed March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

59%YES
41%NO

Volume 24h

$152K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

50% / 53%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+7.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

52% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Peak probability

61% YES — highest in period

Mar 26, 2026

Current

59% YES (-2.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 59%99%
Buy YES@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $152K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696711