Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$584K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
60% / 63%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
71%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)
15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Trough probability
33% YES — lowest in period
Mar 22, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
33%
Mar 22, 2026
Biggest move: +35.5pp
33% → 68%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
68% YES (+35.5pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $584K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1669736
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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Full price history for your own analysis.