ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5
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Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5

Closed March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

78%YES
23%NO

Volume 24h

$236K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

49% / 50%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 26, 2026

Current

49% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 78%99%
Buy YES@ 78¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.2%
½ Kelly1.1%
Buy NO@ 22¢

-2.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5" at 78% YES / 22% NO. In the last 24 hours, $236K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 78%, NO 22%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1719811