ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.
Share on X

Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
47%NO

Volume 24h

$516K

Liquidity

$4K

Bid / Ask

51% / 55%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 47¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C." at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $516K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1639589