ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5
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Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$36K

Liquidity

$161K

Bid / Ask

52% / 53%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+49.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 24, 2026

Biggest move: +39.0pp

55% → 94%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

100% YES (+6.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $36K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687847