ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5
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Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
7%NO

Volume 24h

$141K

Liquidity

$5K

Bid / Ask

89% / 97%

Spread

7.90pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Warriors vs. Mavericks

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 23, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

47%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

52% YES (+5.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $141K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 7.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688112