ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
Share on X

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$99K

Liquidity

$517K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-5.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Trough probability

16% YES — lowest in period

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

24% → 16%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

19% YES (+3.0pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $99K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1543404