Markets/Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 06:31 AM UTC

Closes September 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

1.40pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 2%99%

Buy YES@ 2¢

Edge

+17.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+17.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. The bid-ask spread is 1.40 percentage points. The market closes on September 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1088482

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