Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
1% / 1%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 13, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 23, 2026
Biggest move: -5.5pp
11% → 5%
Mar 22, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1193230
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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