Markets/Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 06:21 PM UTC

Closes June 6, 2026

Polymarket Price

9%YES

92%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

6% / 11%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

10% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 9%99%

Buy YES@ 9¢

Edge

+5.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 92¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?" at 9% YES / 91% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 9%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 9%, NO 91%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1087761

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