Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Closes May 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Mar 17, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Mar 17, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+17.6%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on May 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/572853
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Venue Divergence
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