Markets/Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 07:26 AM UTC

Closes January 25, 2027

Polymarket Price

1%YES

99%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$33K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+48.1pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 10, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

-25.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly25.9%

½ Kelly13.0%

Buy NO—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 25.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on January 25, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1361083

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