Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$0
Liquidity
$569
Bid / Ask
6% / 37%
Spread
31.00pp
Expert Signal
22%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
68% YES
Mar 1, 2026
Trough probability
13% YES — lowest in period
Mar 4, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
30%
Mar 4, 2026
Biggest move: -45.0pp
75% → 30%
Mar 4, 2026
Peak probability
76% YES — highest in period
Mar 1, 2026
Current
25% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?" at 22% YES / 78% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 31.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1295977
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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