Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$0
Liquidity
$432
Bid / Ask
6% / 42%
Spread
36.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Mar 9, 2026
Trough probability
21% YES — lowest in period
Mar 9, 2026
Biggest move: +6.0pp
23% → 28%
Mar 9, 2026
Current
26% YES (-2.0pp recent)
Mar 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 36.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1295978
Go Deeper
Entity Hub
All related markets, signals, and news in one view.
Forecaster Signals
See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.
Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
Download 90d CSV
Full price history for your own analysis.