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Markets/Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
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Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$285

Liquidity

$862

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+11.1pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: -29.3pp

31% → 1%

Mar 26, 2026

Peak probability

33% YES — highest in period

Mar 26, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.4pp recent)

Mar 26, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢
Edge

+11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.2%
½ Kelly0.1%
Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+11.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $285 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692173