Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$484K
Liquidity
$28K
Bid / Ask
10% / 11%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
18%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
23% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Current
28% YES (+3.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $484K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1536376
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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