Markets/Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 07:53 AM UTC

Polymarket Price

0%YES

100%NO

Volume 24h

$76K

Liquidity

$98K

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $76K has been traded.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/646002

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.