Markets/Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 01:38 PM UTC

Closes January 25, 2027

Polymarket Price

4%YES

96%NO

Volume 24h

Liquidity

$37K

Bid / Ask

4% / 4%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 11, 2026

Current

4% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 4%99%

Buy YES@ 4¢

-3.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 96¢

Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly3.6%

½ Kelly1.8%

Buy NO—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 3.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on January 25, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1361065

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